Fuel Prices Could Hit KSh231.68 per Litre as Kenya Faces Supply Pressures and Global Oil Surge

Kenyans may face higher fuel costs soon, with petrol expected to reach KSh231.68 per litre in the next pricing cycle. Martin Chomba, Chair of the Petroleum Outlets Association of Kenya (POAK), warned that the April 14 review could see increases between KSh30 and KSh60, driven by rising global oil prices and local supply challenges.

Chomba highlighted Kenya’s dependence on imports and limited reserves. “We do not have reserves. Today, we would have a big crisis if no ship docked at the Port of Mombasa. The oil we have in the pipeline can only last 21 to 30 days at most,” he said. Rural areas could be hardest hit, as smaller fuel retailers already report difficulties accessing supply, and some stations still have fuel sitting in storage.

Regional price trends are also putting pressure on Kenya. Tanzania recently hiked fuel costs by more than 30 per cent, signaling that East African markets are feeling global price shocks. Chomba also raised concerns over fuel quality, noting some shipments may have higher sulphur content than recommended. “While such fuel can still be used, it may not meet the country’s preferred standards,” he said, pointing to potential vehicle risks and compliance issues.

Government Spokesperson Isaac Mwaura assured Kenyans that prices may not rise immediately, thanks to advance shipments. “We already have a consignment in advance. Let’s wait and see until the end of April, when we can assess the situation,” he said. Still, experts say market forces and global trends will largely determine what consumers pay at the pump.

The coming weeks will reveal how Kenya manages supply pressures and rising oil costs. With limited reserves and reliance on imports, KSh231.68 per litre may soon become a reality for many motorists.